Mason-Dixon (9/29-10/1, likely voters, 8/13-15 in parens):
Mark Udall (D): 43 (47)
Bob Schaffer (R): 38 (37)
Undecided: 14 (14)
(MoE: ±4%)
That’s a slight dip for Udall, who has been hammered by Freedom’s Watch and the NRSC in recent weeks. But the poll also finds a shift at the Presidential level, as well, with Obama and McCain tied at 44-44. Now, despite some recent polls showing Obama putting some daylight between himself and McCain in Colorado, the Pollster.com composite is still very close, so the result isn’t exactly outrageous.
Dick Wadhams and Bob Schaffer clearly hope to employ a strategy of “shoving a bunch of 30-second ads up [Udall’s] ass”, but the poll has a bit of discouraging news for the GOP: Schaffer’s unfavorable score has risen from 25 to 43%, while Udall’s has only edged up from 23 to 26. That might be the kiss of death right there.
SSP currently rates this race as Lean Democratic.
They’re the only poll to still show McCain up in Virginia and they gave Obama a two point lead in Florida shortly after the RNC when everyone else had McCain up by about 5-7.
Not saying they’re is wrong but everyone in the MSM seems to masturbate to any poll done by Mason-Dixon or Quinnipiac.
They’ve always had a Republican lean.
Essentially, candidates in the States have been campaigning for almost 2 years. We’re less than a month from the election, how can there still be THAT many undecided?
Schaeffer’s numbers have barely moved. What I find strange is that the 4% that Udall lost has disappeared off the map.
In the Denver Post article, they say that “unaffiliated voters” are going 49-31 for Obama.
If you follow the pattern of registered voters in Colorado, they are split almost evenly between GOP, Democrat, and Unaffiliated.
So, unless a hell of a lot of Democrats are voting for McCain, and only a couple Republicans are voting for Obama, the guess here is that they oversampled Republicans here.
I think a a lot of people dislike Schaffer but are just unwilling to 100% commit to Udall thus far for whatever reason. With Obama performing well in the state I do think most of them will go with Udall in the end, giving Udall something along the lines of a 54-46 win.